Thursday, August 9, 2007

BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY BUY

WOW BLOOD BATH ON THE STREET.


Bears take the upper hand thanks to all the RED news :(


Wondering where we are closing going into the last half an hour.

WOW looks like I'm in a farmer's market at WALL STREET...fresh and healthy stocks on sale.

Letz go shopping...la la la....




Bought Some AAPL at 126 for a quick trade. (With a stop, which has not been taken yet !!!) That will be a quick trade...going till tomorrow. Take part if you like it.

Bought some NMX at 131.32 , 38.2% retracement from 52 week high. It can't go lower with all the news and speculation...Can it.

I have some more for ya....which I'm watching.

NUE is down 4% to $52.50. What sin did steel do in a housing / credit slump??? It's just gone down with the market......Once the market recovers, that's one other thing that'll run high.

WMS is down on a day when S&P comes out and says we are upgrading the stock and we raise the target to 29 from 23......JEEZ how conservative is that....even after they crush earnings......This one is down 4% tooo lurking around 27.

SPR listed in the 'zacks Strong Buy' portfolios today morning based on a very low PEG ratio is also down aboev 4% trading around $36.2.

Am shorting FSLR again if that looks like it'll be closing below $104 for another trade to go to early 90's fast. Now at $103.5

Buy NZ as a spec play . Buy below $14. It has a very rosy future.

Good Luck with these.

Your Adarsh.

Thursday, July 26, 2007

The Only Thing I'll Recommend BUY KRAFT Stock or Write some August 35 Calls

Buy some Kraft, have a limit order at just above $32. Buffett gets in and the stock drops? Is that a correct statement? Today's drop was not coz of buffett, it was a whole RED day, and they lost that Canada Ruling.

That's just temporary. Look at the August 35 calls. WOW.

Get some calls on these red days. Get some August 35 calls just around 50 cents

48000 calls won't go washed offf...Remember that....48000 * 100 = 4,800,000 shares won't be let go into the GUTTER.

Smoke'em if ya have them.

Good Luck,

Your Adarsh.

www.youradu.wordpress.com

www.yanews.blogspot.com

WOW Huge dips!!! BUT DON’T BUY ANYTHING - YET

Read the post completely before you buy something!

Wow who wants (Caterpillar inc) NYSE CAT below $78?
Who wants (Conoco Phillips) NYSE COP below $82 after that block buster earnings?
WOW (Corrections Corporation ) NYSE CXW is around $28. What a great buying oppurtunity here? It reports earnings on Aug 6th. The Only time they missed estimates in the last three years was 2nd quarter 2005. Talk of something much cooler! BUY THIS ONE ANYWHERE BELOW $27.5. That's a screaming buy.
Steel has fallen off the cliff. When is it getting caught?

Nucor NYSE NUE has dropped, exactly 22% since June 1 st. Does it deserve that hitting and kicking in the butt? I'm not holding NUE now...will buy on some suppor. BUT this one in the steel sector has fallen the most of all. Did you listen to their earnings conference call? I think NUE is going higher. Look at the chart for yourself and decide whether to buy it or not. Oversold, bollinger broken, -36 millions (sold)accumulation, stockastic at .14. Technicals scream buy,buy, buy..but I'm holding a little more to catch the bottom.


Bottom Line: Most stocks are down and look like good potential buys. But they really are not YET. Hold on for sometime and get one of these at their bottoms. Keep away from the screens. Don't BUY ANYTHING - ANYTHING THIS WEEK, EVEN IF THE MARKET IS UP 200 POINTS TOMORROW. It's coming back again to 13300 by next week to take the resistance around that area.
Go to a beach this weekend and enjaay the sun.
Visit http://www.yanews.blogspot.com/ to have a little laugh with my news coverage.
Your Adarsh.

(AMEX)KOG jumps and keeps running higher - on a down day

AMEX: KOG What else? The small one that’s been worrying most of us. Though, we knew it has higher potential.

KOG - UP 8% from yesterday at $5.02. Take some profits. and run rest higher.

Our average price is at 4.37 (huge order) and few just below $5. Average a touch lower than 4.5 .

Profit of more than 11% if you want to pocket it now!!!!!

Congratulations.

Your Adarsh.

www.youradu.wordpress.com

www.yadarsh.blogspot.com

www.yanews.blogspot.com

Wednesday, July 25, 2007

My Exclusive Interview With Mike Staffaroni - CEO Of Heelys

I told you all guys, that I’ll post the call that I had with Staffaroni today morning. Here it is ….

We had a couple of misses before we could catch each other. I appreciate Staffaroni that he took time to call me thrice. We missed each other twice.

Staffaroni: Hi Adarsh, Mike Staffaroni from (NASDAQ:HLYS) Heelys.

Adarsh: Hey Mike, we have been playing hide and seek for some time now. I appreciate you taking some time off your schedule to gimme a call. Thanks, first of all.

Staffaroni: That’s my pleasure. Always open to investors.

Adarsh: Mike, I don’t want to eat up a lot of your time. So, let me directly jump into the matter. Can you please touch base with me about how the national marketing is going on?

Staffaroni: The US marketing of Heelys has been doing great. We started the television advertisements last year. And we are going to have Back to School advertisements from the first week of September. Things are working out wonderful as planned in the United States.

Adarsh: Mike, then how is the international marketing growing?

Staffaroni: We have been very healthily growing both into UK and other European countries. Europe has welcomed Heelys with open arms. You must have noticed our recent hire Neil into the company and it has been working very well. Our International Marketing is growing much higher than expected.

Adarsh: Have the concerns on Marketing Strategies gone down?

Staffaroni: We have been following ‘Distribution Channels Strategy’ since long. We have subsidiaries that We have these distributors who sell to the retailers. This strategy has been working out quite well for us.

Adarsh: Mike, I see a lot of countries that you have ventured into. But I see only one location in China and not even one location in India. Don’t you think, these two countries, with huge populations, would provide you with much higher returns? Don’t you think they are cash makers?

Staffaroni: Though, the population is higher, we as a company look at the average household income there. The average house hold income there is much less and that actually limits the margins we can have for the inventory sold. Moreover, the problems with the falsification of the product has been on the rise. Though, I should make a special mention that we have had modest success in eliminating the piracy. But, let me tell you that this is not a problem just with Heelys, most major brands are facing it now and are striving hard to fight against piracy.

Adarsh: Any venturing into the apparel market? If you are, what type, Sports wear, seasonal or Normal wear.

Staffaroni: We have started T-shirts, bags and other apparel wear as a test phase last year. This is still in the test phase. Recently we introduced some more apparel model, but let me mention it again, we are still in the testing phase, and it won’t account to a lot of revenues to Heelys. Our major revenues comes from our wheeled footwear. Let me also mention that we are having a TRADE SHOW next week in Las Vegas. We are introducing our first non-wheeled footwear there. And we opine we will get a very good response from the consumer. We are planning every thing long term at least 3-5 years.

Adarsh: Mike, I’m know it is difficult, but do you have any comments on the recent stock volatility? What is Venture Capital planning to do with the stock sale they just canceled?

Staffaroni (laughs for atleast 5 seconds) : Adarsh, it is hard to predict the market and how or why it reacts in a certain way. Venture Capital, has been with us for a long time. They financially benefited from the growth of our company. They had these 9 million shares at certain price, the stock price ran higher and created an imbalance in their portfolio. I think they wanted to lock in the profits and have the same amount of stock financially in their portfolio than numerically. It is common that a money manager would like to take profits if he makes money some where. But the market looks it some other way. I personally do not have any comments on it. Nothing fundamentally has changed.

Adarsh: What do you comment on Heelys growth?

Staffaroni: We do not want a spiky growth in the company, we want the company to grow modestly, and have a sustained growth long term. We don’t want to outperform the market one quarter and then under perform the other. We want to be performers.

Adarsh: Have you zeroed into when you are going to release the earnings this quarter?

Staffaroni: We have not yet decided on the date and time. We will be doing that in the next couple of days.

Adarsh: Mike, I see that the company has a lot of cash at hand. I also see that the stock price has fallen from the high 30’s to the low 20’s, a fall of around 40% in a quarter. Do you think it is a right time to buy back some of the stock?

Staffaroni: Adarsh, we follow the distribution marketing strategy and we think we need some money at disposal for a growing company. We have now put our apparel into test in the market, and we think we’ll hold on to our cash. We are not planning on any buy back as of now. But you never know. May be we will announce in some time. (laughs)

Adarsh: (laughs) So you want to keep that speculation on?

Adarsh: ok Mike one last question. Is Heelys up for sale?

Staffaroni: (laughs really hard ) Heelys are selling in a lot of retailers if you want a pair. (laughs) But if you talk about the company, we are not going to sell ourselves. But, you never know, if we get that opportunity, and it is good for our product line, may be we’ll be up for sale!!!

Adarsh: Mike, wow that was a great session with you. I really appreciate you taking off some time from your busy schedule and calling me.

Staffaroni: That was actually a good time off with your call. We are always open to your queries.

Note: Guys this is the interview. I did not record the call. So, I am not very sure, whether I could bring back the same comments. I can say that the meaning has not been changed. I expressed the comments in my words.

FYI: I am not a licenced broker or a stock adviser. Invest or make your decisions on your own. I just make my recommendations to point people to stocks that have good prospects.

Hope that helps,

Your Adarsh

Holy crap AAPL fuc*s ’shorts’ on the street

Holy cow. We win again. Who said you can’t buy APPLE high? Hit them with your profits.
(NASDAQ:APPL) APPLE goes higher even higher.



We hear shorts planning to attack this guy (we don’t know him;)) today evening for running the company that well.


This lady never listened us when we said please buy it don’t short it .
She is on her way home. Hold silence for a minute for her.


We asked many to buy/hold when the stock was above 140 last Firday invited a good amount of criticism. But there you go. We are at 150 now. More than 5% profit. But are you selling here?. Think twice. Here is the recommendation we made on Friday. APPL and BIDU killing ’shorts’. Think twice before you short good ones. That’s the lesson.
Always check http://www.youradu.wordpress.com/ and http://www.yadarh.blogspot.com/ before you make some trades.


We won with GOOGLE , we win with AAPL. We will win many others. Just keep in touch and keep winning.
FYI: By the way we are not buying Google even if it hits that $500 mark. We are waiting for the 484 mark.
Good Luck,
Your Adarsh.

Critical situation in New York - Apple and BIDU culprits

New York, NY (YAnews). 7/25/2007: Reports indicate that NASDAQ AAPL had to be halted from trading, after two brokers reportedly were fighting each other shouting sell, buy sell buy and eventually landing punches on each others face on the floor of NASDAQ. The security was quick to take action and separate them both, but by that time both were severly injured. Mr.Mike Puncher, had a bleeding nose and Mr. David Kicker had a bleeding mouth. When one of our bold erporters asked the cause for the fight, David kicked the reporter who is still not showing any signs of recovery from the punch he got.
Trading finally resumed at 4:50 PM EST, and soon AAPL announced results and one broker went wild on the volatility of the stock. The stock ran down to 134 soon after the release of very good numbers from the company. The borker reportedly threw his IPhone saying FU** you Thain. Why coudn't you sell more iphone. The Iphone flew all the way to the big board and it made a crack on the screen and the screen went blank instantly. This caused the remaining brokers to form into two groups ...all fighting each other instead of trading the stock. NY SWAT CATS had to take positions in NYSE and the situation had been brought back into control.
Latest reports indicate the stock trading up again fearing more aggression from the traders. Rumours say that Thain and all other board members were buying loads and loads of stock while taking the conference call.
Stay tuneed to YAnews for more updateshttp://www.youradu.wordpress.com/http://www.yadarsh.blogspot.com/

Massive heart attack on NYSE - BIDU earnings-The CULPRIT

New York, NY (YAnews). 7/25/2007:
Numerous online traders were found staring at their computer screens going wild after hours on Bidu’s quarter release. Our news reports indicate more than a few hundred froze seeing BIDU jump higher than 40 bucks. One broker had a massive heart attack and was taken out of the exchaneg saying that was an error at the board.
No one was killed YET. Looks like one of our cameraman, staring at the Big Board at the NYSE had severe cramps and was rolling on the floor. Luckily the reporter had a bunch of keys in her hand and reports say he is fine now and is being moved to the nearest hospital. In California, reports mention, a traderwho was ’short’ BIDU since this morning went crazy and was caught running on I-5 barefoot to reach his brokers office. He was soon moved to the nearest psychological doctor.
Keep listening to YAnews to get the latestupdates. Good Luck with your investments.

Please don't leave life on investments.
Your Adarsh newswire.

Tuesday, July 24, 2007

How about some positive news on TERAX??

I just talked to Stephen Taylor from Taylor Capitol,on the phone. He says they are waiting on the NASD, to approve of the ticker change and Westar going public with Terax. It seems that once NASD approves, they can go ahead with the change and announce the dividend.

I have posted a part of the call here which might help you guys.

Adarsh : How long do you think it would take to get NASD to complete the review ?
Stephen: We should have gotten the information by now. We are waiting on NASD to intimate us about the review. The management is expecting to receive a notice today or tomorrow from the NASD.

Adarsh: Does the company foresee a price movement after the dividend is paid out? When a dividend is paid out, usually a stock goes lower by that amount? Do you see such a thing here?
Stephen: Management does not see price going any lower or dropping the dividend amount. Management sees the stock price going much higher taking Westar’s value in the company now.”

Adarsh: Do you foresee any problems or intricate situations that might lead into taking up some more time?
Stephen: When the NASD, review a ticker change they verify certain information. If they are not satisfied with what the management sent them a few days back, they might get back to us asking for some more information. But that is not a negative news, even if it happens. Such things are common. We would have to just go forward and send them an updated documentation fulfilling their needs.

This is a small part of the interview. Hope this helps. Have a call with another company today afternoon. WIll post that l8r.

The only thing I was worried was whether to load here on a small dip may be around $3. I think we can load it here too. What do ya guys think. Post your comments, or leave offlines on meebo. Do leave your email id’s for me to contact you if you are leaving an offline.

Thanks,

Adarsh.

Sunday, July 22, 2007

Why not get some Apple here?? Isn’t it clearly going to $180?

Is that the next biggest mistake in the trading world I am thinking of? Did I already forget what happened to GooGle post earnings, which by the way we played out excellent!!

So why am I thinking of getting some apple here? Is it just because somebody said it’s going to $200? No not just that. Though, I have my small core position built in Apple, I did not want to recommend it to people to buy after 60% appreciation in the last 3 months. But, is it a credible statement to think a stock won’t appreciate more coz it already is up 60% in the last three months? naaaaaa..

So, what do I base my statement of getting some Apples here?

Look a the future. What’s APPLE getting for its innovativeness?

I am not going to mention all the factors that have already been mentioned by many people/analysts like the bucks APPLE gets every month on every Iphone, or the number of iphones APPLE conservatively expects to sell, aaaahhh u all know that. Don’t you?

I’ll just say the numbers AAPL puts out that they want to achieve will obviously be conservative. That’s what keeps it a suspense for their earnings report to be released. But don’t you remember when lately AT&T reportedly sold all the iphones?

Ok lets think it this way,

What if AAPL falls below the expectations with the iphone sales? Do you really have in mind that APPL issued Q2 guidance below analysts estimates??? Don’t you remember what happened in 2004 DEC when they fell below expectations? What happened next was analysts decreased the numbers, and then AAPL took off on surprise earnings!!! Check the history out for what will happen if we miss the expectations! It won’t even be as hard as it was on Google, coz APPL’s future, at least for the coming years , based on the news released out till now is damn rosy. What if we really get the low price smaller version of IPhone as planned by 4th quarter this year as reported by JP Morgan!!!. I personally was not impressed that they did not save that news for the earnings report. I personally would have appreciated, if that news was released during the earnings call, to see a pop as when the iphone was show cased in the earnings release this January.

Having said everything, I want to confess that I wanted to buy it on Friday, coz I knew it’ld be under a lot of pressure on the options expirations. I had my limit order at $140, but looks like it was there only for a nano second and my order did not get filled :(

I don’t want you to chase, I’m damn sure we won’t see a RED day before the earnings and a good jump up on the earnings report with good expectations on the future. I want you to be in the boat as soon as possible. And as I opine it will just go up, I want you not to wait till the earnings day.

I am changing my limit order to 141

May be you are thinking isn’t it a risky play. I look at the upside/downside ratio before posting recos. Upside is atleast a pop to $180. Downside is a drop down to $130, which is not at all realistic after the GOOG trade.Why? Because, most people will now step back from trading APPL after that jolt at GOOG. That eliminates most traders.Most holders would be longs on the boat, who will by the way invite a lot of momentum players on to the boat after the earnings release…. or at least during the earnings call riding the price higher. To increase that $180 target I want Thain to say something positive about the other sales with macs, ipods and music tooo.

The mac books, ipods, iphones, what’s next?? That speculations should not be spoiled and we run higher and higher.

Hope this helps, don’t forget about my limit at $141. I know I’ll get most offlines on this one saying I’m wrong again, as I got with GOOG, the other day!!

Your Adarsh

PS: If you leave an offline on meebo to me, pls leave your email or at least your meebo id, so that I can reply. If you just post your question there, I won’t be able to track you down, coz you are there on a guest ID.

Thanks,

Adarsh
आदर्श

Thursday, July 19, 2007

GooGle’s being dumped after hours. We win again

As mentioned yesterday that we’ll get out of the boat just before the earnings worked very well. We sold off today at $550.76 where the 14 -3 day raw stochastic was at 80%.

Quick glance at the earnings.

Net income per share diluted decreased from 1st quarter
Three months ended March 31, 2007, Non- GAAP was $ 3.68
Three months ended June 30, 2007n Non- GAAP was $ 3.56

We’ll be looking at the 520 mark. If that’s broken we are down to 494 and then to 480. The earnings conference call should tell us where to start buying. We are now looking to buy back our shares at around 494, and then some at 484 and 460.97 Those will be our trades if everything goes well at the conference call.

Good Luck,

Your Adarsh.

Wednesday, July 18, 2007

Latest Updates on the trades. COP, CAT, APA, MS, KOG

Initiated COP on Monday at around $86.5

Still looking for a better pull back in CAT to get in. OR did we miss that boat. Our order is lurking around 83 and change.

Bought a full position in APA on Monday at $85.2. Look at this article from one of the street.com writers. Guided to me from one of the stockpickr friends. This is a wonderful piece of work by Jubak

Sold off Morgan Stanley on Monday just below $73. Will start a fresh position after the sub prime clouds clear. Please stay away from financials at least for till the mid next week. DOn’t jump in even if you see a little upside from these level before the mid next week. That may be the OE expirations effect.

A major KOG limit order went off today, which I actually thought would never go off. (Was I lucky here….Looks so at least for today) The limit BUY order at $4.37 where the 14-3 day stochastic stalls went off today and the stock took off since then. Look for a good upside in the coming days. KOG position completed. Not buying even if it drops a little more. I guess this is the bottom. Did you get a chance to look at the conference information?I still stand by the initial comment that KOG is a stock that is worth more! Don’t press the panic button, please.

Rick, Diana, Alan, Kishore, Henry, Vishwa, Lee, Sandeep, Prashanth and Andrew hopefully you checked your email in the weekend and placed limit orders for APA, COP, KOG and MS. All the three would have gone by now. Congratulations. The next plays will be on GOOG, CXW, NYX and CAT.

On the earnings play we are not playing earnings on Google tomorrow, we’ll be looking to get rid of the few we own tomorrow on any upside. Do you recollect when we bought them? Our average is around 500. But we own only 50% of the position we wanted to buy.:(

Your Adarsh.

Tuesday, July 17, 2007

AXP pays off (Swapped Discover for American Express)

We traded Discover for AXP, when discover was spun off from Morgan Stanley. We also built a position in AXP when it went lower on July 2nd.

Our buy/swap recommendation that was made on July 2nd when the stock was trading at around $61.5 can be found here.

Our full position averages around $60. Today’s upgrade from Goldman Slacks ;) paid off well. But, we are holding onto play this quarter’s earnings, when other analysts would upgrade it to take it high, higher and higher. And then we get out sneakily. hehehe Forgot to mention did you collect the dividend (penny and a dime) ;)

Snitzell out, if you were into this very short term. But we are holding on tight to this one atleast a few sessions past earnings.

Congratulations, if you bought AXP at $61.5 on our recommendation.

Your Adarsh.

Friday, July 13, 2007

Speculation on NYSE’s stock price post acquisition.

The market has been on a spree on the M/A activity. Many speculations, many rumors running through the whole market. One of those comes from the Exchanges sector.

New York Stock Exchange acquired Euronext lately and has been on a tear DOWN in the stock price since early this year. It seems to have found the bottom at around $73, nearly a 30% drop from it’s year high. The lower stock prices, bullish comments from some street gurus and analysts, and a smooth integration news with record trade volumes on the merged NYSE-EUR (NYX) gave the stock a little squeeze and boost since the last fortnight. We have speculation going on here with Thain looking to dig into futures.

This lets traders speculate on the stock price going forward. Many opine that paying a premium actually diminishes the acquirers value in stock price. but is it always true? Here is my opinion. Please feel free to comment.

Paying a premium doesn’t matter. Acquisitions automatically involve premiums. It is kinda intrinsic. Can you recall an acquisition without any premium. If the market now values NYX at 83…that will be taking into consideration that we’ll be paying to NMX or ICE or whatever for that matter. We do not have debt at all. In fact we have cash. It is no wrong that we use that for an acquisition. There may be a slight drop in the stock price but that shouldn’t be big.
Can you recall any analyst or any body from a big firm saying that an acquisition will be a negative? It was just individual investors speculaing that there would be a drop to 65’s 60’s etc. I don’t say that we won’t have a drop. But that won’t be a 10-15%. We are not going to drop back to those 75 levels, IF we acquire. May be we’ll drop if the fundas change. The street just recognised what it has been doing with NYX, after it watched CME-BOT merger.
Let us see it with the earnings :
If we acquire NMX :
Our 2008 EPS would be :
NYX - $3.37 (which will be revised more than once in my view after analysts recognise what exactly Euronext brings to NYSE)
and
NMX - $3.65
The total would be more than $7.
Give it a P/E of 30. What do we have here ? A stock at 210.
But let me tell you that not one exchange is trading at a P/E of 30 now. The lowest is 33 and the highest I could find was around 65.
Take the average and apply that for NYX (for sure I think we’ll have a name change ;) 49 P/E would give us 49 * 7 $301 by the end of 2008.
If we acquire ICE our earnings in 2008 would be ICE - 4.93
Total EPS 8.4
A P/E of 30 places us at $252 and a P/E of 40 places us at $336. Don’t even calculate where the 49 P/E would take us !
That’s consolidation.
All these prices take in that we go through the consolidation without any hiccups. This is only true if the integrations go smooth.
Note: All EPS estimates are taken from BOA Investment Services as of 7/13/2007.

Hope this helps.
Thanks,
Your Adarsh
www.youradu.wordpress.com.

Thursday, July 12, 2007

Buy techs…That are breaking out with strong fundas

LL ABOARD

Technology is the new name. But we buy only fundamentally and technically stonger ones. We buy CSCO. If you don’t like that, go with INTC (Intel) A buy even after today’s jump.

Our reco here is CSCO. We have been waiting to pounce on this baby since the last month. We were waiting on it to break that trading band. The whole year CSCO has been caught up in the range of $24-$29. And today, holy cow, it has broken that officially by closing above that dreaded $28.99. We buy a bunch here, yya right here…tomorrow late morning. Then wait for a pull back, just a little, very little pull back before piling up huge.

We have broken the trading band. We were trading between 24 and 29 all through 2007. Now is the time to load up some CSCO. Any dip and we get in. Has a very good potential to get to $36.

First target before any mentionable drop is 32.5.

My latest reco on google forum.

http://finance.google.com/group/google.finance.99624/browse_thread/thread/9ad9211a1621ae4a

Good Luck.Your Adarsh.

Wednesday, July 11, 2007

Success repeated…brings joy repeatedly

Our core position NYX is playing well this week. It’s next major resistance is at $84, which should be broken this week.

Our latest buy Medicinova at $8.39 yesterday i.e 7/10/2007 has already started paying off.

Did you buy Morgan Staney today at my recomendation. Here is my reco.

Place trades around 69. 69.8 offers good support. Should be the
bottom. We are at a 13 week low of $69.71.
Next resistances at
$70.56 $71.53 $73.24 $75.24(major) $77.82 (major)
Load up MS here.

Our limit order with Heelys at $28.11 went off today. Our trade position averages at $25.3. That gives us a 11% profit in 8 days. We just took a snitzel off the table and will be backing up the truck on a down day like yesterday…if we have any at all in the coming week.

KOG paid off in a day

CXW is taking a small dip. Wait untill the technicals recover and the squeeze starts. Lets buy on that oppurtunity down here.

Congratulations and Good Luck

Your Adarsh.

Monday, July 9, 2007

CAT’s going high, higher and much higher

After a downgrade, the stock comes back to the same price level within a week. Great sign.

Cramer loves it. Just said his new theory of $80 take you to $120 strategy.

CAT earnings call is on July 20th. Expect a run up. Get in tomorrow (not pre-market).

BUY Medicinova (MNOV) Strong Speculative BUY

Though my guru hates pharmaceuticals….I’m speculating on this hot fizzy stock that’s been dropping since its debut late last year. It is down more than 21% since its debut. The recent news on concentrating on two drugs and stabilisation of the processes..has rung the bells.

25% of the stock is held by insiders and institutions. The balance sheet looks clean with 0 debt. The company has not been making any profit and that’s what puts it into the hot speculative call list.

Look for a negative day and get in around $8.35

Good Luck,

Your Adarsh.

KOG,CXW star in the latest win

We bought KOG at $5.08 after the recomendation on Friday July 6th.

One day after the recomendation we hit our 5% profit today.

Congratulations on the profit.

We took a snitzell off the table at $5.33, but our major portion remains to ride higher. Next resistances at $5.47 and $5.63.

Did you take profit with CXW? We took 25% off the table today in the wee hours for $33.53 .

Buy CXW if it holds the $32.17. That is a great support level. CXW has great support between $32.17 and $31.79 Load up if you see it moving higher. We are ready to buy more on dips here.

Took 5% profits off CXW and KOG today. What about you?

Both can go much higher.

Good Luck,

Your Adarsh

Thursday, July 5, 2007

Our baby Heelys gets another analyst boost - We love that

Analysts at Bear Stearns ..reiterated their ‘outperform with a target price of $35. That is one whole dollar or 4% more than our target price. If it hits their target it sure should hit ours ;)

Our previous posts / recommendations on Heelys….

http://youradu.wordpress.com/2007/06/29/whats-wrong-with-analysts-hlys/

http://youradu.wordpress.com/2007/06/28/holy-cow-we-got-lucky-with-heelys-again/

http://youradu.wordpress.com/2007/06/13/ahead-of-the-market/

http://youradu.wordpress.com/2007/06/21/where-is-the-bull-hiding/

Our criminal BUY is paying off . CXW up nearly 5% since our BUY. Tomorrow is the split pay off and we are sure the rally will continue.

Good Luck.

Your Adarsh.

Wednesday, July 4, 2007

Trade update. (Discover, Morgan Stanley, American Express, Master Card)

We flipped most of our Discover Financial Services (DFS) position with American Express (AXP) on Monday - July 2nd.

DFS sold at $27.9

AXP bought at $61.5

We like AXP better than DFS. Moreover, we opine AXP will has a better run up compared to MA in the second half. Though we like MA in the credit card industry…considering the latest run since May after the earnings report…..we are waiting on such a run from AXP. Counting on AXP to hit back from the latest dip down.

OUR NEXT BET IS ON AMERICAN EXPRESS.

Our core Morgan Stanley continues to go higher.

Good Luck.

Friday, June 29, 2007

What’s wrong with analysts? (HLYS)

An article published today on Forbes reads ” Heelys Shares Rise on Upgrade
The stock was up yesterday after hours for the cancellation of the 4.5 million shares SEC filing, not after some analyst upgraded it today late morning!!!! What’s wrong with Forbes news reports?
Moreover, I also am not impressed with what Analyst Sujata Shekar from CIBC had to say about the stock. She raised 2007 estimates to $1.79 from $1.49 and introduces a $32 target tag on the stock. That gives Heelys, a company growing very much more than 100%, more than 50% shorted, with a cheap P/E of around 17.5. woooooo What the ‘Analysis’?
My studies and analysis tell my brain that when you upgrade a stock to ’sector outperformer’ from a ’sector performer’…you take into account for default that it’s P/E is going to improve not decrease!!!
But according to ‘Analyst Sujata Shekar’, the stock which was trading on an average P/E of around 18.5, will OUTPERFORM the sector and go down in price valuation ending the year with a P/E of around 17.5.
Does something ring bells in your head? Isn’t something wrong here?

My take on Heelys :

Taking a 25% growth in the next two quarters which every body knows is going to be easily beaten by the company, I value HLYS should be trading currently at 1.31 * 25 = $32.75 . ($1.31 earnings is average of all analysts)

Conversely, I opine they’ll make a minimum $1.8 which puts us at1.8 * 25 = $45, by the year end…and I add $4 for the short covering which should place the stock price around $50 by the year end.

This taking into consideration that they do not throw out new news screwing up the price creating volatility again. If they do that…I decrease the price target by $5. That should put us around $40-$49 a share by year end. A acquisition rumour or a merger news should boost the price then to newer never adventured levels. Heelys gives us the best Profit/Loss ratio to get them into your portfolio.

This is just by taking into consideration that they have a P/E of just 25.

We are increasing our long holding, once the price consolidates.

Comments appreciated.

Good Luck,

Youradu.

Thursday, June 28, 2007

Holy COW We got lucky with HEELYS again

Wow I love those Heelys. mmmuah.

We are on another trade spree here.

Bought two bunches on this dip.

One small bunch at $27.3

Another bigger bunch today at $ 24.8

We are up 10% after hours from today’s closing price. The shorts will have a hard time in the coming days. That squeeze should take us much higher. Hold on tight and thank Staffaroni.

Congrats and Good Luck.

Friday, June 22, 2007

*Crime is a BUY!!!!! (CXW)

How abt getting a prison play!!!!!

Corrections Corporation of America owns and operates privatized correctional and detention facilities. It also leases three correction facilities to third party’s.

The company is the fifth largest corrections system in the nation, behind only the federal government and three states.

It has a P/E of 34, and a PEG of 1.8. Its revenues were up over 52% year over year on a revenue gain of 11.5%.

Rated a BUY - ‘A’ at thestreet.com

Rated a Buy ‘1.2/5′ on analyst recomendations

It has 4 ‘Strong Buy’ ratings and 1 ‘Buy’ rating according to Bank of America ratings.

It had a great run. Nearly 90% increase in stock price in the last 12 months.

BUT, But, we have a split coming up this month ending. GO ahead guys get some before the split. We smell another big run up.

Never missed earnings and mostly beat the estimates by a good gap.

Private prison operator Corrections Corp. of America announced a two-for-one stock split for shareholders of record on June 29.

The split, payable July 6, will increase the number of shares outstanding to 123.7 million.

Wait for some consolidation in the market and get into this invisible bomb before 29th June. This will be one of our long term plays…No flipping here :) This is a growth play…not a spec.

Split was annouced when the price was $63.5. So, we can assume there was no big run up just on the speculation for the split. Looks lie safe here tooo. But just look to get in any where around 63-64.

Good Luck.

Just talked to EVCC investor relations….

We wanted to talk to them on Monday evening if the results were not out by then. But one of our comment’s made us call them today. Thanks and appreciations to srx.
We just talked again to the investor relations at the Environmental Control Corporation.
The answers have been confident and positive again.

Two questions we asked :
1) When are the results of the test supposed to be announced?
Ans) Sir, The result of the test being done was supposed to be out by this week. It can be out any day now. We are waiting on to deliver everybody a good positive news.

2) Why is Michael Mugford, the director of both EVCC and MGM enterprises selling the stock? (We asked this questio long back, and got ‘Personal reasons’ as answer )
Ans) Michael and most other directors have been working with EVCC without any pay. And moreover the number of shares he has sold doesn’t even account up to be a considerable number considering his huge holding in the company. He has been selling for some confidential and personal reasons. Moreover, MGM has just bought a good bunch of the stock. That should indirectly mean he (being a founder of MGM ) has no negative issues with the test, nor the company. Hope I clarified your question.

Srx I hope that clarifies your question tooo. I don’t know whether the test outcome will be positive or negative, but the company sounds confident, positive and the industry is a booming one - remember based in environmental friendly California.

No Profit or Loss untill u SELL

Alphabetically

EVCC has been flat since we recommended. Though we have to note we dropped down a few more cents. We gladly mention that we have backed up the truck for the coming news and hope you did the same.

GOOG our biggest dollar pick has dipped to 500 as we predicted and we bought a bunch at that price….though we are waiting for another small drop down to the 475 level before it takes off through the earnings report on Jul19th. Even if it doesn’t drop we’ll make it a point to the community to buy a bunch at a consolidated price. Seeing a huge run..Will probably trade if it bounces back at that 526 mark.

MS has given our short position a good run. We will get discover for our Long position soon and are very happy for the return we are getting DFS* is trading much better than expected …BOOYAH

TEXG …the biggest short term gainer. We have already flipped it twice since the recommendation. It makes a great trade. The latest news is that the debt acquisition by Westar will be done as soon as 10 days with a dividend payment (equal to the difference between 6.75 and the price of TEXG !!!!). We talked to somebody from the company and it looks to give us more. We are now more than a few grands. Congratulations for all those who rode with us.

More posts on TEXG:

http://youradu.wordpress.com/2007/06/08/

http://youradu.wordpress.com/2007/06/21/

NMX our much newer buy is still lurking at the same levels. Though the speculation of the sale is still not completely priced in. Bought at $138.

We also bought a few ICE on 18th June at $153.4, taking its aggressive growth and prospects into consideration. (Also the NYX NMX ICE speculation!) BUYING ON A CRAZY DAY PAYS.

HEELYS…yep it paid us off. We initiated another short term position on HEELYS yeesterday…. Looks like we were a bit too fast in the market….The 10% run down in a single day didn’t produce a positive next day. We are down 5% today…but hey That’ll be another buying opppurtunity as we bought only a very small position at 27 and change. Looking to get few more on a bit more drop. Our research tells it’ll bounce back once the addition of the 9 million shares pending completes…(increase in the floatation hmmmm)

Special Mention : trades at 26 and 25 were cancelled.
Good Luck.

Thursday, June 21, 2007

Where is the BULL hiding?

Here we found one of those big fat bulls every body missed.

This is not falling in love with the stock. This is trading on the charts.

Heelys. yya again Heelys…one stock that is hated by most. One stock that has over 50% short interest.

That has paid off again.

I have now covered more than the drop in my core position by trading this stock.

Guys, Just initiated HLYS again today after trading them the last spike on the SEC filings from the company.

Initiated at 27.19 .

Will buy around the next level supports.

Next level Supports at

26.33

and 25.48.

Have trades placed at 26.4 and 25.6 .

Last trades paid off well.
Last trade - Lasted for 3 sessions
Bought at $28.29
Sold at $31.5
3 sessions - 11.5% Profit.
Core- mid-term position untouched.

Go here to find the SEC filing filed today.

Took MPEL off the streamer and LOL it pops up the alert box saying more than 5% LOSS in one session. hehehehe who cares!!!

Thanks,
www.youradu.wordpress.com

Wednesday, June 20, 2007

Morgan Stanley Pays off :D

We got Discover on holding stock (core position) and a great run for the short term flip at MS.

Trade position:

Buy Date : 06/06/07 at 85.76
Sell Date : 20/06/07 at 90.14

Our long core position remains to ride higher and get Discovery.

http://youradu.wordpress.com/page/4/
http://youradu.wordpress.com/2007/06/07/what-a-sexy-day-at-wall-street/
http://youradu.wordpress.com/2007/06/06/my-latest-stock-play-2/
http://youradu.wordpress.com/2007/06/12/wall-street-house-of-pain/

Boooyaaaaaaaaah

P.S. : This post has been modified on 6/22 to remove the confusion in the wording about the Discovery spin off. Thanks to srx for pointing that out.

GL,

Youradu.

Tuesday, June 19, 2007

If I were Thain (as of this moment)

I know I’ll call many of my friends here o critisize me with this
post.
Many would say I’m wrong. But just read on.
If I were Thain at this moment. I’ld go ahead and throw a
very competitive bid for NMX and acquire them. Let the market digest
the news, let the shorts ride NYX for the short term. The way NYX is
doing now gives shorts more time, to take the stock lower on the
speculation that we’ll be acquiring ICE/NMX. Why not just do it and
give the shorts less time? Let them take it to lower 70 may be higher
60’s I’m not concerned coz everybody will applaud Thain (me) as soon
as 1st quarter 2008 or a bit later, as soon as NYX realises the
potential of the two huge acquisitions we made. Hope Thain does it asap.

Not freaking out, but I think we are giving shorts time to
gobble our share, just speculating the news, which they’ld relish
until we report a great quarter and tehn give us a big BIG BIGGER
squeeze. I don’t care even if we miss the quarter results owing to the
acquisition costs which should be less, considering that both NMX and
NYX are pretty near, cutting miscelleneous costs (yya I know but
that’s a chunk too)

Moreover, it was good to hear that things with Euronext
are working out quite well as planned and we are not having any
problems there. It’s high time we gobble NYX and change our name to
GLOBAL STOCK EXCHANGE. (Dreaming about the GSE like the World Bank) :-o

Ideal Buy: Buy NYX after the acquisition. Mind you it’ll trade side ways till the next quarter earnings for sure.

Buy NMX and ICE for that upside on the bid. As of now take NMX and buy ICE considering the ICE- CME-BOT deal.

Adarsh owns NMX, ICE and NYX as of today.

Thursday, June 14, 2007

*NYMEX is a buy here!!!

yya I’m a little late…three trading sessions late… But NYMEX - NMX can get almost as high as $155-$160, if someone expresses interest in it… and if there is a bid fight the sort of one going on between CME, BOT, and ICE, then we ride higher.

I was just a little suspicious of the rising 10 year (fingers crossed) which may slow down the MA activity, but the market has dropped enough taking off that effect from play now .

Short term : Play it for that 15 -20 Bucks each share.

Today’s closing price : 139.80

Good Luck to ya all.

Adarsh does not hold NMX as of 6/14/07

Plans to get a bunch on 15th, and wait for a RED day, which we at youradu, LOVE.

Wednesday, June 13, 2007

*Ahead of the Market.

What did Buffett do in his early stages of investing? He went in the direction which very few explored. He did not buy into the current trend. He went after the ‘next play’. Let’s do that now.

Everybody is after Crox. Pushing it higher and higher and will probably dump as soon as it goes and hitz that $100 mark. I love crox too after seeing this run UP to 100 from around 45 in 3 months. hmmm that’s great jump. Now it is at 92 and yya I think it’s a quick buy now…. to be flipped soon. But to do so, you have to be an agile investor. So, lets not touch crox when it’s as hot as new comer almost get burned in that fire now.

SO, let’s search some other in the same sector. yya DICKS Sporting Goods, but that is trading higher too, just around 9% down from it’s 52 week high.

My search takes us to a newer stock, which created a sensation on its debut as the IPO. It is Heelys. yya same old story, it’s trading at paltry dollar amount of around 28. Man, read my previous post on Heelys here. The company posts great quarter after quarter, but announces something or the other at the earnings that drives the stock down. Initially, in it’s very first quarter presentation it did not announce good guidance for the futuredriving the stock down from around 38 to 27.5. Lately, in it’s second conference, it said the insiders would sell a gazillion, again sending the stock from around 38 to 28 now.

This year Heelys Tops BusinessWeek’s Annual List of 100 ‘Hot Growth Companies’.

My take:

Wait for the market sentiment to change and jump in, before this takes off again. Get in anywhere below 28.5 and sell most once it hits that 34 and ride the rest.

Good Luck.

Tuesday, June 12, 2007

*Wall Street - House of Pain

For one of our friend’s who asked about the recent drop, and how we have to play it now.Also can be a good read for another believer who asked, “How to start off, if I don’t have any background of where the market is now?”Read on…

Is the bull market over? Do we have to start learning to short stocks in order to gain money now? Why hasn’t the market recovered since the last week’s sell off? Why is everything RED in my portfolio? Is there anybody who is still making money out there? How to play these times? Is Mr. Bear hungry?

aaaaaaahh Lot of questions! Lots and lots of questions! Sad faces glaring at the plasma screens at the exchanges. People selling in panic, people taking profits, people loading up the trucks in order to bring their averages down. Moreover, importantly everybody is trying to keep themselves as diversified as possible.

Why the market is down?

Because of rising yields and the fear that there won’t be any cuts in the interest rates in the near future, housing concerns, treasuries being sold, heightened concerns over inflation, decreased M/A activity, all, are one way or the other responsible for the recent drop. Most of these are inter-related. Concerns on inflation, decreasing the possibility of cutting interest rates. Treasuries selling adding to rise in the yields, are driving investors from stocks to bonds. yyaaa there are a lot of reasons, and I’m sure educated financiers, or money managers can write books on current situation.

What to do now?

Very SIMPLE, play it safe. Do not fill your basket with just apples! Do not buy unless you know for sure this short term trend, that is prevailing in the market now, will not effect the stock you are going to buy.

Play stocks which have some good news coming up (Our Morgan Stanley Play, with Discovery coming up) Wait until these gusts settle down. I don’t think this is the end of the Bull market. Just see the way companies are still reporting increased profits quarter after quarter, and year after year. That speaks for the bull market. Unless the S&P posts some loss when compared to the last quarter the bull market is not done. Let the gusts blow over.What do we do if the yield rise do not stop and we don’t have a cut in the interest rates and rather see an interest rate rise as Ben just clued after the last meeting? oh Just keep your portfolio into stocks that get hit less on that news. Keep away from the financial plays if this environment prevails even after the earnings season for financials.I’ll keep trying to find out those picks that will make you some MAAADD MONEY.

BTW: Did you but some TEXG in that beautiful drop down. I didn’t have enough cash to cash onto that drop :( I think we missed that boat. But I like it anywhere below 2.5. These are the kind of plays you can play now.

EVCC is also on a dip. If you can dare, add some. But mind you add only on your speculation that the test results would be positive.

Play things responsibly. Don’t worry about the drop in the market.

Cramer was bullish on AAPL yesterday, I don’t know, but my gut doesn’t allow me to buy it now. Just wait for that drop when we have it released. I feel we may get it on sale.

And how about getting some GOOG just around here at 500!!!!!Good luck to ya all

Monday, June 11, 2007

*We eat profit for Dinner :o)

This is an update of our recent picks and how they are doing!!!

Google, our costliest in terms on dollar amount pick

Picked on June 5th at 520. Price Target was 500. It still is showing some resilient support around that 513 level. I still reiterate my buying aound 500 or below, but NOT higher.

If you shorted you’ld be making money by now!!! Did you have the guts to short it as I said?!!!

MS : Picked on June 5th at 85.65 Wanted to buy it around 84 - 85 We got that entry on 6th.

Did you buy it around $84.5???
Todays high around $89 (5.3% profit in 4 sessions!!!)

Curent price $88.5 (around 5% profit)

If I were you I won’t dare take profits and play it back again. You may miss the boat that way. Just hold on for the Discover on 20th.

This one is a great winner.

EVCC: This one has dipped. But do we care about the dip? We only care about the news to be released right? We forget this untill we get the news. We have a strategy of taking profits as soon as the news hits the wire at the top price!!!!! Hold on guys.

GS: We called this one on 8th June. We hold on this one until the earnings report due this 14th. And play this out after the earnings ride. GL

TEXG: Our winner. Hope you get some of these before 21st June. The day when Westar is going to consider your holding to mint you MAD MONEY!!! Aaaahhhh What a day ..A great dip for us to get into. Get in before this resumes the ride before 15th. Does it really sensibly matter whether you get it at 2.4 or 2.2 when you are going to get almost 1/3 the price Westar gets?(min of about $3.5 to max of $6.75)

Good Luck to ya all !!

Saturday, June 9, 2007

*I don’t like computers in Walmart !

Dell and Walmart have been in news combinedly for some time now. You know what? Dell wants Walmart to sell computers for them. I don’t like this . Cramer likes Walmart now coz they are expanding to Asia. People on Fast money like Walmart too…I love walmart though it doesn’t really make fast money. But this deal does not speak good of Dell. This would hurt them more than it would benefit!!! Ouch

People assume ‘Walmart’ as the Poor Man’s ‘Target’ with their everyday low prices tag. It is kind of like JC Penny for Macy’s. Kinda wierd comparision but almost near I guess. Would you like to go to Target or Walmart when your girl friend asks you somethign? These days kids do not want to go to Walmart, they love to go to Target. I know computers are not too much with kids, but why is dell going to a retailer?? Walmart is great, they have great deals they are like the biggest diversified super market, but doesn’t really impress me with computers. Dell could have gone to some Computer guys, Best buy , Circuit city, office depot, Fry’s, oh man there are so many!!!!!!! This deal is just going to STOMP DELL with a tag - cheap brand.

Once Dell gets that poor man’s brand sticker on it, no body would want to put them in their living rooms!!!!!!! What would you prefer showing a Kia Rio to your neighbour or a 2008 Mustang/Corvette? It’s the same here. It’s all the brand name and the tag you attach to it. may be they’ll increase their revenue initially, but later on this is going to effect them big. This is my thinking. Appreciate your comments.

Friday, June 8, 2007

* Hooo laaa laaa hoooo laaaa laaaa This is WHAT I call is Research

This is what I call research. yaahooooooooo…Another bumper hit…… A trade most of you might not approve of ….. But this has now turned into a gem. yya A REAL GEM. It has suddenly turned down the blood, the last three days have put on my portfolio. I wish I had more of this one. I will be buying more of this even after this one is xxx% more today than it was yesterday. yya guess what’s in that blankxxx. Don’t open your mouth. IT IS 100% . Boooooooooooyaaaaaaaahhhhhhh

I am talking about a small company, a micro stock. I do not remember what provoked me to research on it about five months ago. I remember I was in Houston on a business trip. I was at Transocean, talking to a couple of IT project managers and Transocean management guys. Ironically after the IT meeting we were talking about stocks and companies. We talked about Westar coming public. You know what now. Don’t you?? How will I stop reading about some company that is about to come public which has made a good impression on the management of Transocean (RIG on NYSE), a pioneer and the best pick of that sector. One research page led to the other ..company fundamentals, operations, etc etc took me to a page which talked about the wells, how they work, what happens once they stop working, how costs rise and how companies struggle thereafter, and that took me to a page that talked about my pick. I’m going to show you how this made me thousands, and how it is going to make you thousands now. Yya I like transocean, I love Westar, but I want to marry TEXG.OB (only until the end of this month LOL) yya it is a ob - a otcb stock. Sorry to pick an OB. But, yya that’s what has made me about few thousands in 5 months, and it still has a lot of energy left.

My research on TEXG.OB found that the company had some wells that were almost closed or not working as of then, back in Jan. What is the reason? Company had no money to repair rigs !!!! What the heck? Why is Adarsh wasting my time talking about a company that doesn’t have money to repair it’s operations?? yya that’s what drew me near this bitch and it showed me what to do.

The company owns blocks of oil and gas leases, one covering approximately 11,200 gross acres in the aggregate in close proximity to each other in Erath County, Texas, and one covering a block of approximately 17,200 gross acres in the aggregate in close proximity located in Comanche County, Texas, both of which permit the Company to drill and develop the Barnett Shale formation underlying the lease acreage. On May 31, 2005, the Company entered into a share purchase agreement with Holywell Technological Investments Ltd. and First Finance Limited, pursuant to which the Company acquired Erath Energy Inc. (EEI). EEI’s assets include of approximately 30 oil and gas leasehold interests, which are located in the Erath County, Texas.

It’s acquisition on EEI showed that the company was trying hard to do something, to come out of problems, do something and get the attention of people. After a week or so, I got onto the train. But soon found out that the company was planning a REVERSE SPLIT. Now come on, A REVERSE SPLIT IS NOT GOOD, NOT GOOD AT ALL. My radars went mad, all dials went crazzy. They were blinking, beeping doing all kind of signals. What now? I was down about 25% since I bought. That made me look into what for were they doing this reverse split a big one infact A 1:20 split. I owned around 10,000 then. That would put me with a meagre of 500. The price tanked after the split. People started to sell and run as soon as the split finished. Why were they so mad? What to do now? I’m not a loser. I’m not selling this one on which I spent hours reading. Actually, this one taught me more about management on the oil sector, how it works. This is my teacher. I’m not betraying my teacher! ! ! I called TEXG’s Investment Services to find out what’s wrong with the company. Asked them I thought you guys said “We are reverse splitting to get the attention of the bigger markets, bigger financial sectors, to enable us to market our fields and equipment better” and that sounded to me like you wanted to offer yourselves for sale. He affirmed his stance but did not directly say we are open for sale. He said that they were looking for oppurtunities to work with bigger companies and prove their mettle. What does that mean? Booyaaaah that’s what boosts your stock price. OK then you better prove your mettle soon and make me some MAD MONEY. Kewl satisfied, actually self satisfied on my research I hung up to find an announcment in a few days.

On April 3, 2007, Terax received a notice from the Erath County sheriff’s Department that the 266th District Court of the State of Texas has issued a Writ of Execution directing the Sheriff’s office to recover the judgment amount and any other charges that have been awarded. The total amount of the judgment due is $545,065.94. That is just wonderful. They just increased their marketing arena , and now they have money to repair their equipment and start operations. That is like adding sugar coated icing on a super sweet cake. I love that!! SLURP. That drove the price crazy and I remember selling my little bunch for a profit of about 50%. Now did you see the price action last couple of months? I bought on that dip at around 1.5 and today morning woke up to find the news from Westar. I don’t want to write down the whole news. It’s here take a look. http://biz.yahoo.com/iw/070608/0263705.html

I didn’t have time to read the whole news. Just sold my bunch at around $3.5 How much profit is that?? about $2 a share on and investmen of $1.5 a share yaaahooooooo.

So what do I do now taking the news into consideration that Westar is willing to pay till $6.75 a share for those of record on 21st of this month?? I am buying more , more and more as soon as I get some money into my brokerage account. But before everybody digests the news. I will for sure not let the time pass Monday before I get hold of a huge bunch. I am willing to pay about $2.5 or more.

Good luck to ya alll…yya I know it is a bit long blog ..But this one is our WINNER so why not show some gratitude? ;)

SM: Hope this one tries to offset the losses MPEL has brought me.

Thursday, June 7, 2007

*What a sexy day at Wall Street !

Blood Blood Blood, ubiquitous!

What a day? Everybody hates the last three days. I love that. Thanks to uncle Ben , Morgan Stanley’s 14% sell off the next few months and the bonds issue, we got almost 3% fat off Dow Jones!

So what do we have here? Our three picks in the last three days are doing ok. That makes me more bullish on them. I’m still waiting on Google to shed some more off it. Morgan stanley was a good buy both yesterday and today. But if you are greedy and if you want it a bit lower why not wait tomorrow…weekend usually invites more sellers than people who initiate positions. As planned get MS early next week before it takes off like it tried today in the wee hours of the market. The market was selling off one end and MS was such a bull ride for an hour and then people felt the pressure and gave way to the bears. Love the target price rise from Bank of America on our friend Morgan Stanley.

So, why did I say today was a sexy day? I love crammer and his methodologies. That is why I love this week. it’s been a bears run, shorts laughing on bulls. My dad always used to say, ” When an elephant walks on the road, dogs keep barking from the side of the roads” Guys just let them bark and take the weak minded off the train.

My pick of the day is Goldman Sachs GS($220).

Don’t worry about the Fed speach, and the interest rate rises. This one is the best of the breed(Financials). A better play than MS in the long term. If you did not buy MS still. Buy this one. It’s on a dip. They report earnings next week (6/14). Why not play it on earnings? Lets get into GS now and get off board before the Discovery spin off from MS. Howzz that? Great quick flip!!!!

GS - What a stock? I liked it at $230. I love it today on this drop. Uncle Ben’s words have the market take a pit stop after that sprinty lap. I would love to get into GS anywhere below 220. WOW $21.3 earnings per year…giving us a P/E of just around 10 kewl.

If you have the gem already in the portfolio, why not add some tomorrow by mid day. I see another 2$ off and us getting in on with GS.

Good Luck to ya all.

Adarsh.

Note: I ‘m not an authorized/certified money manager or an advisor. This is not an advice or a compulsion asking you or making you to buy the stocks mentioned above. I just give advices. It’s completely under your discretion to buy these stocks. These are just a few picks I’m advising you, decreasing your time to find this from the huge WALL STREET’s ocean. There are many other better plays out there…these are just a few who I like to play as of this moment. I don’t claim to be that kind of guy who beats S & P regularly by some x %. No legal proceedings regarding this can be made, as I never persuade anyone to invest/trade certain stocks.

Wednesday, June 6, 2007

*My latest stock play - 2

Tell me if my advice helps you in making some money. How about a lunch then? ;) Read on...

HOT SPECULATIVE PLAY:

ENVIRONMENTAL CONTROL CORPORATION:

Environmental Control Corporation: This is a company that makes Emission Control Devices for small Spark Ignition (SI) combustion engines. Typical devices that EVCC deals with are: walk behind rotary mowers, rear engine riding mowers, front engine lawn tractors, riding garden tractors, snow throwers, commercial turf mowers, chainsaws, hand held blowers, backpack blowers, trimmers/brush cutters, mopeds, scooters, snowmobiles, all-terrain vehicles and personal water crafts. They are doing durability testing on the two-stroke, 185cc Rotax engine that began on May 17th, 2007 at Carnot Emission Services (CES). The testing process is expected to take two to four weeks. They did the preliminary tests earlier this year, which were a huge success. That popped the price from $.75 to about $7 a share. I am expecting the news on this test would see a higher pop this time considering that they will be manufacturing them s soon as it gets approved. The only concern till now with this company was financing and monetary support for their invention. Almost forgot to tell you that they hold few patents on the inventory. The finance concerns can be taken off, owing to the latest filings made to SEC and announcements that the company acquired two additional finance prospects summing up to an amount of $75000 and $150,000. The company says it’ll use the financing in the marketing and sales of EVCC's patented catalytic muffler technology and will allow the company to take more aggressive steps in the advancement of its business model.

My Take:

I already own a huge bunch. Looking to grab a few more on any drop. But the good news can be anytime now!!

Ideal buy:

Buy ASAP...may be on a low day like today. Lucky if you can get’em before the news for 1.5. But in my view it shouldn’t matter if you got in at 1.5 or $2 if it pops up to $7 -$10 a share after the news. Good luck to you all !!!!

Note: I 'm not an authorized/certified money manager or an advisor. This is not an advice or a compulsion asking you or making you to buy the stocks mentioned above. I just give advices. It’s completely under your discretion to buy these stocks. These are just a few picks I’m advising you, decreasing your time to find this from the huge WALL STREET’s ocean. There are many other better plays out there...these are just a few who I like to play as of this moment. I don’t claim to be that kind of guy who beats S & P regularly by some x %. No legal proceedings regarding this can be made, as I never persuade anyone to invest/trade certain stocks.

*Time To Buy Morgan Stanley was Today ! $84.5

Tell me if my advice helps you in making some money. How about a lunch then? ;) Read on...

Short Term:

MORGAN STANLEY:

Morgan Stanley announced the long awaited spin off of its Discover Financial Services unit on June 30 to focus on its more lucrative securities business. The news was around since last December. The spin-off is structured as a tax-free dividend. Morgan Stanley is not keeping any shares. Shareholders will get one share of Discover common stock for every two shares of Morgan Stanley. Regular trading of Discover is scheduled to begin July 2 on the New York Stock Exchange under the stock symbol "DFS". I don’t remember whether it was Citigroup or credit Suisse, but one of their analysts opined last Friday that Discover would fetch about $10-$14 initially on a P/E of around 10 (which has now almost become a norm for financial institutions).

My Take:

Considering $85.65 (as of now) for MS at a P/E of around 10.58 and Forward P/E of around 10.27 with a short ratio of 2.1 does not sound it is too costly. Also remember the 1.5% dividend MS pays. Though, people may argue that Citigroup is a better play out there. The spin off that would earn us some quick money/shares of Discover, and considering Morgan Stanley's return on equity will rise without Discover, a capital-intensive business, I feel MS is a better play as of now. But I’ll wait the market to shrug off Bernanke’s comments on rate cuts (would be better to say rate rise now LOL). Look for a good dip down by the end of this week and get into MS by next Tuesday to receive Discover and add a great financial play to your portfolio. I see those rate rise signals would actually stop the recent run in the financial sector, in fact rather initiate a small drop unless there is some good news from the economic news section this week.

Ideal buy as of now at 84 - 85:

I don’t think it’s going to change much, owing to the good news we have on board now. It won’t fall below 84...unless there is some huge drop with DOW, thanks to Bank Of America's upgrade today.

Note: I 'm not an authorized/certified money manager or an advisor. This is not an advice or a compulsion asking you or making you to buy the stocks mentioned above. I just give advices. It’s completely under your discretion to buy these stocks. These are just a few picks I’m advising you, decreasing your time to find this from the huge WALL STREET’s ocean. There are many other better plays out there...these are just a few who I like to play as of this moment. I don’t claim to be that kind of guy who beats S & P regularly by some x %. No legal proceedings regarding this can be made, as I never persuade anyone to invest/trade certain stocks.